Serie D Girone B · Italy · Stadio comunaleFiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Rovato Vertovese to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fiorenzuola 1.1 – 1.2 Rovato Vertovese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rovato Vertovese shade it despite being away from home – 41% to win, against 33% for Fiorenzuola.
Fiorenzuola have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Rovato Vertovese have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Rovato Vertovese come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Fiorenzuola, 1.2 for Rovato Vertovese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Rovato Vertovese to win at 2.75 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rovato Vertovese to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rovato Vertovese / FT Rovato Vertovese ✗ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.19 | – |
Form
Fiorenzuola – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Pavonese | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Piacenza | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Villa Valle | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Caldiero Terme | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Brusaporto | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Pro Palazzolo | 0–1 | L |
Rovato Vertovese – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Scanzorosciate | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Milan II | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Calepina | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Tritium | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Leon | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Virtus Verona | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorenzuola and Rovato Vertovese.
Serie D Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chievo | 11 | +16 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 11 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Milan II | 11 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Piacenza | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Caldiero Terme | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Villa Valle | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Pavonese | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Scanzorosciate | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Pro Palazzolo | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Calepina | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Virtus Verona | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Club Milano | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Rovato Vertovese | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 |  Brusaporto | 11 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 11 | -10 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
On our numbers Fiorenzuola have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rovato Vertovese 41%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.