Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlessandria to win ✗59% · @1.60
Double chanceAlessandria or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Millesimo vs Alessandria preview and prediction
The match
Millesimo host Alessandria in the Serie D Girone A on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Millesimo are 6th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Alessandria sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Millesimo and 1.7 for Alessandria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Alessandria to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Millesimo 0–1 Alessandria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millesimo18%fair 5.64 · @4.75
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
Alessandria59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
2.45Expected goals
0.78Millesimo xG
1.67Alessandria xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Millesimo 0.8 – 1.7 Alessandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Alessandria or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.92
–
Form
Millesimo – last 2
WL
12 Sep
vs Valenzana
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Imperia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alessandria – last 2
WW
13 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millesimo and Alessandria.
What is the prediction for Millesimo vs Alessandria?
Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Millesimo vs Alessandria?
On our numbers Millesimo have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alessandria 59%.
How many goals will there be in Millesimo vs Alessandria?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millesimo vs Alessandria?
Our predicted score is Millesimo 0–1 Alessandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Millesimo vs Alessandria?
Millesimo vs Alessandria (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
