Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Celle Varazze vs Ligorna preview and prediction
The match
Ligorna travel to face Celle Varazze in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). Celle Varazze are 18th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Ligorna sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Celle Varazze's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Saluzzo 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ligorna's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Derthona 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Celle Varazze and 1.6 for Ligorna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celle Varazze 33%, draw 22%, Ligorna 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celle Varazze 1–2 Ligorna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celle Varazze33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Ligorna45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
2.84Expected goals
1.28Celle Varazze xG
1.56Ligorna xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Celle Varazze 1.3 – 1.6 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.00
–
Form
Celle Varazze – last 6
LLLWWW
16 Sep
@ Saluzzo
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Sanremese
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Derthona
0–1
L
3 May
@ Imperia
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sestri Levante
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Derthona
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ligorna – last 6
LLDWWW
16 Sep
vs Derthona
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Biellese
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanremese
2–2
D
17 May
vs Città di Varese
5–3
W
10 May
vs Chisola
1–0
W
3 May
vs NovaRomentin
9–1
W
3.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celle Varazze and Ligorna.
What is the prediction for Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Celle Varazze have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ligorna 45%.
How many goals will there be in Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Celle Varazze 1–2 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Celle Varazze vs Ligorna?
Celle Varazze vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
