Serie D Girone A · ItalyBorgosesia vs Bra prediction & analysis
Bra or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bra to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Borgosesia 0.6 – 1.3 Bra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bra shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 20% for Borgosesia.
Borgosesia have taken 1 points from their last 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Bra have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.6 for Borgosesia, 1.3 for Bra). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (20%), 0–0 (15%), 0–2 (13%).
Our pick is Bra or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Bra to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bra to win ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bra or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bra / FT Bra ✗ | 33% | 3.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 20% | 4.97 | – |
Form
Borgosesia – last 2
| 16 Sep | @ Gozzano | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Saluzzo | 0–2 | L |
Bra – last 6
| 16 Sep | vs Biellese | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Lascaris | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Fezzanese | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Juventus U23 | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | @ Pontedera | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Mar | vs Arezzo | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borgosesia and Bra.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Borgosesia vs Bra?
Our pick is Bra or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Borgosesia vs Bra?
On our numbers Borgosesia have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bra 59%.
How many goals will there be in Borgosesia vs Bra?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
When is Borgosesia vs Bra?
Borgosesia vs Bra (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.