Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Alessandria vs Sestri Levante preview and prediction
The match
Alessandria host Sestri Levante in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta. Alessandria are 1st with 30 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Sestri Levante sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sestri Levante's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Asti 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Alessandria and 1.2 for Sestri Levante. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Alessandria 1–1 Sestri Levante. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alessandria41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Sestri Levante35%fair 2.86 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.31Alessandria xG
1.18Sestri Levante xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alessandria 1.3 – 1.2 Sestri Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✓
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Alessandria – last 1
W
6 Sep
@ Valenzana
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sestri Levante – last 6
WWLLLW
6 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Sampdoria U20
4–1
W
3 May
vs Sanremese
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Celle Varazze
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Asti
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs NovaRomentin
5–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Sestri Levante.
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sestri Levante 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Our predicted score is Alessandria 1–1 Sestri Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Alessandria vs Sestri Levante (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
