Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe MoccagattaAlessandria vs Sestri Levante prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alessandria 1.3 – 1.2 Sestri Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Alessandria and Sestri Levante on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Alessandria have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sestri Levante have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Alessandria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Alessandria, 1.2 for Sestri Levante). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alessandria to win ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✓ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.24 | – |
Form
Alessandria – last 1
| 6 Sep | @ Valenzana | 2–1 | W |
Sestri Levante – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Asti | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Sampdoria U20 | 4–1 | W |
| 3 May | vs Sanremese | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Celle Varazze | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Asti | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Apr | vs NovaRomentin | 5–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Sestri Levante.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
More Serie D Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sestri Levante 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Alessandria vs Sestri Levante?
Alessandria vs Sestri Levante (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.