Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLigorna to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceLigorna or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Ligorna vs Sanremese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone A sees Ligorna take on Sanremese on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Ligorna are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sanremese sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ligorna's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Città di Varese 5–3 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Sanremese's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Sestri Levante 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ligorna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Ligorna and 0.7 for Sanremese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Ligorna to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ligorna 1–0 Sanremese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Sanremese13%fair 7.60 · @4.50
2.52Expected goals
1.85Ligorna xG
0.66Sanremese xG
41%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ligorna 1.9 – 0.7 Sanremese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✗
66%
1.51
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Form
Ligorna – last 6
WWWDWD
17 May
vs Città di Varese
5–3
W
10 May
vs Chisola
1–0
W
3 May
vs NovaRomentin
9–1
W
26 Apr
@ Asti
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Biellese
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Cairese
0–0
D
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanremese – last 6
WDWDLW
3 May
@ Sestri Levante
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Imperia
2–2
D
2 Apr
@ Saluzzo
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Città di Varese
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Celle Varazze
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ NovaRomentin
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and Sanremese.
Our pick is Ligorna to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ligorna vs Sanremese?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanremese 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs Sanremese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs Sanremese?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 1–0 Sanremese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs Sanremese?
Ligorna vs Sanremese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
