Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓68% · @1.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Real Madrid W vs Ajax W preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League Women sees Real Madrid W take on Ajax W on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Real Madrid W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Atletico Madrid W 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ajax W's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Real Madrid W 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 August 2026, finished Ajax W 0–2 Real Madrid W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Real Madrid W and 0.9 for Ajax W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid W 68%, draw 15%, Ajax W 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Madrid W 2–0 Ajax W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid W68%fair 1.46 · @1.13
Draw15%fair 6.89 · @6.60
Ajax W17%fair 5.82 · @15.00
2.93Expected goals
2.08Real Madrid W xG
0.86Ajax W xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid W 2.1 – 0.9 Ajax W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
On our numbers Real Madrid W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ajax W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid W 2–0 Ajax W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid W vs Ajax W?
Real Madrid W vs Ajax W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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