Køge W vs PSVEindhoven W prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Køge W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Køge W 2.0 – 1.0 PSVEindhoven W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Køge W are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 22% for PSVEindhoven W.
Køge W have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. PSVEindhoven W have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Køge W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Køge W, 1.0 for PSVEindhoven W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Køge W have won 1, PSVEindhoven W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Køge W to win at 1.95 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Køge W to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.35 |
| Half-time result | Køge W ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Køge W / FT Køge W ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.82 | – |
Form
Køge W – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ AGF W | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ PSVEindhoven W | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Brøndby W | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Odense Q W | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Hearts W | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Aug | vs Riga W | 4–1 | W |
PSVEindhoven W – last 6
| 26 Aug | vs Køge W | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Utrecht W | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ PEC Zwolle W | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs HJK W | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Aug | @ SFK 2000 W | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Twente W | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 26 Aug 2026 | PSVEindhoven W v Køge W | 0–1 |
UEFA Champions League Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 3 | +17 | 9 |
| 2 |  Lyon W | 3 | +14 | 7 |
| 3 |  Arsenal W | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 |  Chelsea W | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Juventus W | 3 | +5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain W | 3 | +5 | 5 |
| 7 |  Bayern Munich W | 3 | +3 | 5 |
| 8 |  Inter Milano W | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid W | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Manchester City W | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Køge W | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 |  SL Benfica W | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Servette Chênois W | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 |  Paris FC W | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 |  Austria Wien W | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 |  Häcken W | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Roma W | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 |  OH Leuven W | 3 | -9 | 1 |
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St. Pölten W1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Køge W vs PSVEindhoven W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Køge W vs PSVEindhoven W?
On our numbers Køge W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and PSVEindhoven W 22%.
How many goals will there be in Køge W vs PSVEindhoven W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Køge W vs PSVEindhoven W?
Køge W vs PSVEindhoven W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Koge Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.