Real Madrid W travel to Sportpark De Toekomst in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 26 August (18:30 WAT) to face Ajax W.
Form guide
Ajax W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat PEC Zwolle W 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Madrid W's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Granada 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ajax W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Ajax W and 1.9 for Real Madrid W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ajax W 11%, draw 18%, Real Madrid W 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Ajax W 0–1 Real Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ajax W11%fair 9.28 · @6.50
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @4.33
Real Madrid W72%fair 1.40 · @1.35
2.50Expected goals
0.56Ajax W xG
1.94Real Madrid W xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ajax W 0.6 – 1.9 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Ajax W – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Aug
vs PEC Zwolle W
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Utrecht W
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Rangers W
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Brøndby W
2–0
W
22 May
@ Heerenveen W
3–1
W
8 May
vs AZ
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 6
WWWLLL
31 May
vs Granada
2–0
W
26 May
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barcelona W
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Barcelona W
2–6
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ajax W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Real Madrid W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Ajax W have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 72%.
How many goals will there be in Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Ajax W 0–1 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ajax W vs Real Madrid W?
Ajax W vs Real Madrid W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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