Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultChelsea W to win ✓76% · @1.13

Double chanceChelsea W or draw ✓94% · @1.01

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39

Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W preview and prediction

The match

Real Sociedad W travel to Wheatsheaf Park in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 26 August (18:45 WAT) to face Chelsea W.

Form guide

Chelsea W's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Everton W 4–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Real Sociedad W's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Atletico Madrid W 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.6 for Chelsea W and 0.7 for Real Sociedad W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Chelsea W 76%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad W 6%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Chelsea W 3–0 Real Sociedad W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Chelsea W76%fair 1.32 · @1.13

Draw18%fair 5.43 · @6.40

Real Sociedad W6%fair 17.03 · @16.00

3.37Expected goals

2.64Chelsea W xG

0.74Real Sociedad W xG

52%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%

3–010%

1–09%

2–19%

3–18%

4–07%

From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.6 – 0.7 Real Sociedad W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chelsea W to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.13
Double chance	Chelsea W or draw ✓	94%	1.06	1.01
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	56%	1.80	1.70
Half-time result	Chelsea W ahead at half-time ✗	58%	1.74	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W ✗	54%	1.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	12%	8.39	–

Form

Chelsea W – last 6

WWWWLW

26 Apr	@ Everton W	4–1	W
6 Apr	vs Tottenham Hotspur W	2–1	W
1 Apr	vs Arsenal W	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Aston Villa W	4–3	W
24 Mar	@ Arsenal W	1–3	L
18 Mar	vs Brighton W	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Real Sociedad W – last 6

WLWWWD

31 May	vs Atletico Madrid W	2–0	W
27 May	@ Barcelona W	1–2	L
9 May	vs Granada	3–0	W
3 May	@ Deportivo de La Coruña W	2–1	W
4 Apr	@ Alhama	5–1	W
29 Mar	vs Edf Logrono W	1–1	D

2.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona W	3	3	0	0	+17	9
2	Bayern Munich W	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Chelsea W	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Lyon W	3	2	1	0	+14	7
5	Arsenal W	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Juventus W	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Manchester City W	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Real Madrid W	4	1	3	0	+3	6
9	Paris Saint Germain W	4	1	2	1	+4	5
10	Roma W	4	1	1	2	-7	4
11	Inter Milano W	4	1	1	2	-8	4
12	Køge W	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	SL Benfica W	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Servette Chênois W	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	Häcken W	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Paris FC W	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Austria Wien W	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	OH Leuven W	3	0	1	2	-9	1

Team

Pts

+17

+14

Paris Saint Germain W

-7

-8

-5

-5

-9

-4

-6

-4

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?

On our numbers Chelsea W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad W 6%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?

Our predicted score is Chelsea W 3–0 Real Sociedad W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W?

Chelsea W vs Real Sociedad W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Wheatsheaf Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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