Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓60% · @1.61
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Liverpool Montevideo take on Cerro on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Belvedere. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Cerro sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Defensor Sporting 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Albion FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Liverpool Montevideo 1–2 Cerro. Across their last 2 meetings Liverpool Montevideo have won 0, Cerro 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Liverpool Montevideo and 0.7 for Cerro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 60%, draw 25%, Cerro 15%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo60%fair 1.66 · @1.61
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.45
Cerro15%fair 6.71 · @5.60
2.30Expected goals
1.63Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.67Cerro xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 – 0.7 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
60%
1.66
1.61
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
