Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdino to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceOrdino or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Ordino vs Carroi preview and prediction
The match
The 1a Divisió sees Ordino take on Carroi on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadi Nacional. Ordino are 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Carroi sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ordino's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Ranger's 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Carroi's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Sporting Escaldes 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Ordino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Ordino and 0.9 for Carroi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordino 64%, draw 24%, Carroi 12%.
Safer route: Ordino or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ordino to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ordino 2–0 Carroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordino64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
Carroi12%fair 8.17 · @4.33
2.97Expected goals
2.10Ordino xG
0.86Carroi xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ordino 2.1 – 0.9 Carroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordino to win✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Ordino or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Ordino ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordino / FT Ordino✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
Ordino – last 6
WLLWWW
17 Oct
@ Ranger's
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
0–4
L
20 Sep
@ Esperança d'Andorra
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Casa de Portugal
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Sporting Escaldes
2–1
W
10 May
@ FC Santa Coloma
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carroi – last 6
LLDLLL
18 Oct
vs Sporting Escaldes
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Ranger's
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Penya Encarnada
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Santa Coloma
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordino and Carroi.
Our pick is Ordino to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ordino vs Carroi?
On our numbers Ordino have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Carroi 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ordino vs Carroi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordino vs Carroi?
Our predicted score is Ordino 2–0 Carroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ordino vs Carroi?
Ordino vs Carroi (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Nacional.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.