Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Penya Encarnada to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsperança d'Andorra to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra preview and prediction
The match
The 1a Divisió sees Penya Encarnada take on Esperança d'Andorra on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadi Nacional. Penya Encarnada are 6th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Esperança d'Andorra sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Penya Encarnada's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Casa de Portugal 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Esperança d'Andorra's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to FC Santa Coloma 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Esperança d'Andorra 0–1 Penya Encarnada.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Penya Encarnada and 1.6 for Esperança d'Andorra. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Value angle: Penya Encarnada to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Penya Encarnada 1–1 Esperança d'Andorra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penya Encarnada37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Esperança d'Andorra40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
3.10Expected goals
1.52Penya Encarnada xG
1.58Esperança d'Andorra xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Penya Encarnada 1.5 – 1.6 Esperança d'Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
On our numbers Penya Encarnada have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Esperança d'Andorra 40%.
How many goals will there be in Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
Our predicted score is Penya Encarnada 1–1 Esperança d'Andorra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra?
Penya Encarnada vs Esperança d'Andorra (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Nacional.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
