Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitoria to win ✗40% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama preview and prediction
The match
Vasco DA Gama travel to Barradao in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 3 September (01:30 WAT) to face Vitoria.
Form guide
Vitoria's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Cruzeiro 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vasco DA Gama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 August 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria. Across their last 2 meetings Vitoria have won 1, Vasco DA Gama 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Vitoria and 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitoria 40%, draw 24%, Vasco DA Gama 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Vasco DA Gama to win at 3.45 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria40%fair 2.47 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.83 · @3.45
2.33Expected goals
1.22Vitoria xG
1.11Vasco DA Gama xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.2 – 1.1 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vasco DA Gama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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