Santos host Palmeiras in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Vila Belmiro.
Form guide
Santos's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Corinthians 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Mirassol 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 August 2026, finished Palmeiras 3–0 Santos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Santos and 1.5 for Palmeiras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santos 28%, draw 22%, Palmeiras 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Santos 1–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos28%fair 3.62 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Palmeiras50%fair 1.98 · @2.08
2.51Expected goals
1.01Santos xG
1.50Palmeiras xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Santos 1.0 – 1.5 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Santos have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 50%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Palmeiras?
Santos vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Vila Belmiro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.