Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓62% · @1.51
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.12
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Vasco DA Gama take on Vitoria on Thursday 27 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vitoria's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Bahia 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 July 2026, finished Vitoria 1–0 Vasco DA Gama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Vasco DA Gama and 0.7 for Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 62%, draw 24%, Vitoria 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama62%fair 1.61 · @1.51
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.90
Vitoria14%fair 7.11 · @6.60
2.56Expected goals
1.81Vasco DA Gama xG
0.75Vitoria xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.8 – 0.7 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitoria 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Palmeiras3
Santos0