The Copa Do Brasil sees Palmeiras take on Santos on Thursday 27 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Vasco DA Gama 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Santos's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Mirassol 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Palmeiras and 0.8 for Santos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palmeiras 62%, draw 19%, Santos 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Palmeiras 1–0 Santos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras62%fair 1.63 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.80
Santos19%fair 5.21 · @6.40
2.47Expected goals
1.70Palmeiras xG
0.78Santos xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.7 – 0.8 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
62%
1.63
1.54
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 6
WWLDDL
23 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
4–1
W
19 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
12 Aug
vs Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Internacional
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos – last 6
DDWWLW
23 Aug
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Macara
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
3–0
W
13 Aug
vs Macara
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Atletico Paranaense
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Remo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Santos.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Santos?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Santos 19%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Santos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Santos?
Palmeiras vs Santos (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vasco DA Gama1
Vitoria0