Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Persebaya Surabaya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd preview and prediction
The match
Persebaya Surabaya host Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1 on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. Persebaya Surabaya are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Persepam Madura Utd sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to PSM Makassar 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Persepam Madura Utd's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Persib Bandung 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Persepam Madura Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Persebaya Surabaya 1–2 Persepam Madura Utd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.6 for Persepam Madura Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Persebaya Surabaya to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persepam Madura Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.90
Persepam Madura Utd12%fair 8.13 · @5.50
2.42Expected goals
1.79Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.63Persepam Madura Utd xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.8 – 0.6 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Persebaya Surabaya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persepam Madura Utd 12%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
