Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Bhayangkara FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBhayangkara FC to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceBhayangkara FC or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar preview and prediction
The match
Bhayangkara FC host PSM Makassar in the Liga 1 on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Sumpah Pemuda. Bhayangkara FC are 9th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while PSM Makassar sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bhayangkara FC's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat PSIM Yogyakarta 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
PSM Makassar's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Bhayangkara FC and 1.1 for PSM Makassar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bhayangkara FC 63%, draw 21%, PSM Makassar 16%.
Safer route: Bhayangkara FC or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bhayangkara FC to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Bhayangkara FC 2–1 PSM Makassar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bhayangkara FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
PSM Makassar16%fair 6.22 · @5.00
3.33Expected goals
2.26Bhayangkara FC xG
1.07PSM Makassar xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bhayangkara FC 2.3 – 1.1 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bhayangkara FC to win✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Double chance
Bhayangkara FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Bhayangkara FC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bhayangkara FC / FT Bhayangkara FC✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Bhayangkara FC – last 6
WDDWDD
20 Oct
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ Persepam Madura Utd
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Arema FC
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Isenmulang Kalteng
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Dewa United
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Persebaya Surabaya
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
WWLDDL
22 Oct
vs Persebaya Surabaya
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ PSS Sleman
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Persita
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Arema FC
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Persib Bandung
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bhayangkara FC and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Bhayangkara FC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers Bhayangkara FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PSM Makassar 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is Bhayangkara FC 2–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar?
Bhayangkara FC vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sumpah Pemuda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
