Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Persebaya Surabaya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.32
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta preview and prediction
The match
Persebaya Surabaya host PSIM Yogyakarta in the Liga 1 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. Persebaya Surabaya are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while PSIM Yogyakarta sit 17th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Bhayangkara FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSIM Yogyakarta's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Persita 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.6 for PSIM Yogyakarta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persebaya Surabaya or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
PSIM Yogyakarta18%fair 5.43 · @4.33
2.00Expected goals
1.39Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.61PSIM Yogyakarta xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.4 – 0.6 PSIM Yogyakarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.32
–
Form
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
DDWWWW
5 Sep
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Persib Bandung
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Arema FC
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Port FC
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs PSMS Medan
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Persija
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
DLWWLD
5 Sep
vs Persita
1–1
D
22 May
@ Arema FC
1–3
L
17 May
vs Persepam Madura Utd
2–1
W
10 May
vs Malut United
2–0
W
30 Apr
vs Persita
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Persija
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and PSIM Yogyakarta.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Our pick is Persebaya Surabaya or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSIM Yogyakarta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSIM Yogyakarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
