Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Arema FC to win @ 2.60 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArema FC to win ✗48% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.25
PSM Makassar vs Arema FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees PSM Makassar take on Arema FC on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Gelora BJ Habibie. PSM Makassar are 12th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Arema FC sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PSM Makassar's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Persib Bandung 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Arema FC's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Adhyaksa 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Arema FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Arema FC 3–0 PSM Makassar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.7 for PSM Makassar and 2.3 for Arema FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PSM Makassar 28%, draw 24%, Arema FC 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Arema FC to win at 2.60 – 48% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PSM Makassar 1–2 Arema FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSM Makassar28%fair 3.58 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Arema FC48%fair 2.06 · @2.60
4.00Expected goals
1.73PSM Makassar xG
2.27Arema FC xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: PSM Makassar 1.7 – 2.3 Arema FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
On our numbers PSM Makassar have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arema FC 48%.
How many goals will there be in PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
Our predicted score is PSM Makassar 1–2 Arema FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
PSM Makassar vs Arema FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora BJ Habibie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
