Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarkemase Boys to win ✗45% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 preview and prediction
The match
Excelsior '31 travel to De Bosk in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday 1 September (19:00 WAT) to face Harkemase Boys.
Form guide
Harkemase Boys's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Hercules 5–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game.
Excelsior '31's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat SVZW 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Harkemase Boys and 1.5 for Excelsior '31. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harkemase Boys 45%, draw 19%, Excelsior '31 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Harkemase Boys 1–1 Excelsior '31. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harkemase Boys45%fair 2.23 · @2.36
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
Excelsior '3136%fair 2.79 · @2.62
3.14Expected goals
1.67Harkemase Boys xG
1.47Excelsior '31 xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Harkemase Boys 1.7 – 1.5 Excelsior '31 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harkemase Boys to win✗
45%
2.23
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harkemase Boys / FT Harkemase Boys✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Harkemase Boys – last 5
WWWWD
29 Aug
vs Hercules
5–3
W
22 Aug
@ DVS 33 Ermelo
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Hollandia
2–1
W
23 May
vs Sportlust '46
4–1
W
6 Apr
vs Dovo
1–1
D
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Excelsior '31 – last 3
WWW
29 Aug
vs SVZW
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ Staphorst
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Eemdijk
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harkemase Boys and Excelsior '31.
What is the prediction for Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
On our numbers Harkemase Boys have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Excelsior '31 36%.
How many goals will there be in Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
Our predicted score is Harkemase Boys 1–1 Excelsior '31, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31?
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior '31 (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Bosk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO '201
Excelsior Maassluis1
SC Genemuiden2
FC Lisse1