Value bet: Draw @ 3.75 – our chance 55% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +106%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.75
Double chanceSC Genemuiden or draw ✓77% · @1.50
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.99
SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse preview and prediction
The match
SC Genemuiden host FC Lisse in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday 1 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
SC Genemuiden's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Eemdijk 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FC Lisse's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Excelsior Maassluis 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for SC Genemuiden and 1.5 for FC Lisse. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SC Genemuiden 23%, draw 55%, FC Lisse 23%.
Safer route: SC Genemuiden or draw (77%) at 1.50.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Draw at 3.75 – 55% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SC Genemuiden or draw – a 77% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SC Genemuiden 1–1 FC Lisse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Genemuiden23%fair 4.43 · @2.50
Draw55%fair 1.82 · @3.75
FC Lisse23%fair 4.43 · @2.50
3.02Expected goals
1.51SC Genemuiden xG
1.51FC Lisse xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: SC Genemuiden 1.5 – 1.5 FC Lisse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.82
3.75 ▲
Double chance
SC Genemuiden or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.50 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Lisse / FT FC Lisse✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.99
–
Form
SC Genemuiden – last 5
WWWDL
29 Aug
vs Eemdijk
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Hercules
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs DVS 33 Ermelo
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs HHC
1–1
D
23 May
@ Hoogeveen
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
FC Lisse – last 6
WWWWLL
29 Aug
vs Excelsior Maassluis
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Roosendaal
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Aalsmeer
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Achilles Veen
4–1
W
30 May
vs ADO '20
0–1
L
27 May
@ ADO '20
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Genemuiden and FC Lisse.
What is the prediction for SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
Our pick is SC Genemuiden or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
On our numbers SC Genemuiden have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 55% and FC Lisse 23%.
How many goals will there be in SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
Our predicted score is SC Genemuiden 1–1 FC Lisse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse?
SC Genemuiden vs FC Lisse (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO '201
Excelsior Maassluis1
Harkemase Boys0
Excelsior '311