Double chanceShimshon Tel Aviv or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem preview and prediction
The match
Nordia Jerusalem travel to face Shimshon Tel Aviv in the Liga Alef on Friday 23 October (11:35 WAT). Shimshon Tel Aviv are 7th with 30 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shimshon Tel Aviv's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Maccabi Ashdod 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nordia Jerusalem's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Hapoel Marmorek 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Shimshon Tel Aviv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.5 for Shimshon Tel Aviv and 0.8 for Nordia Jerusalem. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shimshon Tel Aviv 2–1 Nordia Jerusalem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimshon Tel Aviv74%fair 1.36 · @1.05
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @8.00
Nordia Jerusalem8%fair 11.86 · @21.00
3.21Expected goals
2.46Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
0.75Nordia Jerusalem xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Shimshon Tel Aviv 2.5 – 0.8 Nordia Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimshon Tel Aviv to win✓
74%
1.36
1.05
Double chance
Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Shimshon Tel Aviv ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimshon Tel Aviv / FT Shimshon Tel Aviv✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 6
WWLWWD
19 Oct
@ Maccabi Ashdod
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Kfar Saba 1928
3–0
W
30 Sep
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1–2
L
23 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Holon Yermiyahu
3–1
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nordia Jerusalem – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Oct
vs Hapoel Marmorek
1–4
L
8 Oct
@ Holon Yermiyahu
0–5
L
30 Sep
vs Hapoel Hadera
0–4
L
23 Sep
@ Ironi Beit Shemesh
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs FC Jerusalem
1–3
L
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Herzliya
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimshon Tel Aviv and Nordia Jerusalem.
What is the prediction for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
On our numbers Shimshon Tel Aviv have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nordia Jerusalem 8%.
How many goals will there be in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Shimshon Tel Aviv 2–1 Nordia Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 11:35 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.