Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Migdal HaEmek to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceHapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek host Ironi Baka El Garbiya in the Liga Alef on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT). Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are 8th with 31 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ironi Baka El Garbiya's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Tzeirey Tamra 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and 1.0 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Ironi Baka El Garbiya15%fair 6.69 · @3.60
3.23Expected goals
2.21Hapoel Migdal HaEmek xG
1.02Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2.2 – 1.0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win✓
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek / FT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Form
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek – last 6
WWDLWD
19 Oct
@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
1–0
W
8 Oct
vs Tzeirey Tamra
1–0
W
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1–1
D
24 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–3
L
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
WLLWDL
19 Oct
@ Tzeirey Tamra
3–1
W
8 Oct
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1–2
L
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
1–2
L
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 2–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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