Value bet: Hapoel Sderot to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDimona to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.40
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot preview and prediction
The match
Dimona host Hapoel Sderot in the Liga Alef on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 11:35 (WAT).
Form guide
Dimona's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Hapoel Sderot's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Azor 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dimona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Dimona and 1.2 for Hapoel Sderot. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Hapoel Sderot to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Dimona 1–1 Hapoel Sderot. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dimona40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Hapoel Sderot36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.29Dimona xG
1.21Hapoel Sderot xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Dimona 1.3 – 1.2 Hapoel Sderot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dimona to win✓
40%
2.49
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dimona / FT Dimona✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.40
–
Form
Dimona – last 6
WLWWLW
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
3–2
W
23 Sep
vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–5
L
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Nordia Jerusalem
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ FC Jerusalem
1–4
L
19 Feb
vs Tzeirey Tira
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Sderot – last 5
DLWLW
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Azor
0–0
D
23 Sep
@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tira
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dimona and Hapoel Sderot.
What is the prediction for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
On our numbers Dimona have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hapoel Sderot 36%.
How many goals will there be in Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
Our predicted score is Dimona 1–1 Hapoel Sderot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:35 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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