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Liga Alef · Israel

FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi prediction & analysis

87%
Footrivo pick

FC Jerusalem or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FC Jerusalem to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Jerusalem to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Jerusalem or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64

FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi preview and prediction

The match

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi travel to face FC Jerusalem in the Liga Alef on Friday 9 October (10:00 WAT). FC Jerusalem are 2nd with 37 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th on 35 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

FC Jerusalem's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Tzeirey Tira 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Herzliya 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for FC Jerusalem and 0.8 for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was FC Jerusalem or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Jerusalem 1–0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Jerusalem65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi13%fair 7.76 · @3.70
2.70Expected goals
1.95FC Jerusalem xG
0.75Maccabi Kiryat Malachi xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Jerusalem 1.9 – 0.8 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Jerusalem to win ✗65%1.541.80 ▲
Double chanceFC Jerusalem or draw ✗87%1.151.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultFC Jerusalem ahead at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Jerusalem / FT FC Jerusalem ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.64–

Form

FC Jerusalem – last 6

WDWDWW
30 Sep@ Tzeirey Tira2–0W
24 Sepvs Maccabi Yavne1–1D
18 Sep@ Nordia Jerusalem3–1W
9 Sepvs Maccabi Ashdod1–1D
4 Sep@ Kfar Saba 19282–1W
27 Febvs Dimona4–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – last 6

DWWWDW
30 Sepvs Hapoel Herzliya0–0D
23 Sep@ Dimona5–1W
18 Sepvs Hapoel Azor3–0W
9 Sep@ Hapoel Sderot2–1W
3 Sepvs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda1–1D
20 Febvs Beitar Yavne1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Jerusalem and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.

FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Kiryat Gat211740+3555
2FC Jerusalem221147+1637
3Dimona221147-137
4Maccabi Yavne221066+1436
5Maccabi Kiryat Malachi221057035
6Tzeirey Tira211038+933
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868030
8Beitar Yavne229310-730
9Kfar Saba 192822787-329
10Maccabi Ashdod21777+228
11Holon Yermiyahu226610-324
12Hapoel Marmorek226610-1424
13Hapoel Azor21588-323
14Hapoel Herzliya225710-1422
15Hapoel Ramat HaSharon225512-1919
16Nordia Jerusalem223613-1215

More Liga Alef predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

Our pick is FC Jerusalem or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

On our numbers FC Jerusalem have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 13%.

How many goals will there be in FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

Our predicted score is FC Jerusalem 1–0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.