FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
FC Jerusalem or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FC Jerusalem to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Jerusalem to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Jerusalem or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi preview and prediction
The match
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi travel to face FC Jerusalem in the Liga Alef on Friday 9 October (10:00 WAT). FC Jerusalem are 2nd with 37 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th on 35 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Jerusalem's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Tzeirey Tira 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Herzliya 0–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for FC Jerusalem and 0.8 for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: FC Jerusalem to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Jerusalem or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Jerusalem 1–0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Jerusalem65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi13%fair 7.76 · @3.70
2.70Expected goals
1.95FC Jerusalem xG
0.75Maccabi Kiryat Malachi xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Jerusalem 1.9 – 0.8 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Jerusalem to win✗
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Double chance
FC Jerusalem or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
FC Jerusalem ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Jerusalem / FT FC Jerusalem✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
FC Jerusalem – last 6
WDWDWW
30 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tira
2–0
W
24 Sep
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Ashdod
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Kfar Saba 1928
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Dimona
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – last 6
DWWWDW
30 Sep
vs Hapoel Herzliya
0–0
D
23 Sep
@ Dimona
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs Hapoel Azor
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Sderot
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Jerusalem and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
What is the prediction for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Our pick is FC Jerusalem or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
On our numbers FC Jerusalem have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Our predicted score is FC Jerusalem 1–0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.