Value bet: Maccabi Ashdod to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaccabi Ashdod to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.81
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Marmorek host Maccabi Ashdod in the Liga Alef on Thursday 8 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Hapoel Marmorek are 12th with 24 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th on 28 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Hapoel Marmorek's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Kfar Saba 1928 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Maccabi Ashdod's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Holon Yermiyahu 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Hapoel Marmorek and 1.3 for Maccabi Ashdod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Maccabi Ashdod to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Marmorek33%fair 3.04 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Maccabi Ashdod45%fair 2.20 · @2.38
2.30Expected goals
1.02Hapoel Marmorek xG
1.28Maccabi Ashdod xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Hapoel Marmorek 1.0 – 1.3 Maccabi Ashdod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
On our numbers Hapoel Marmorek have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maccabi Ashdod 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Marmorek 1–1 Maccabi Ashdod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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