Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.07
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Ironi Baka El Garbiya take on Hapoel Nazareth Illit on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Ironi Baka El Garbiya's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Hapoel Beit Shean 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Tzeirey Tamra 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya and 1.6 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Baka El Garbiya34%fair 2.93 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Hapoel Nazareth Illit45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
2.98Expected goals
1.36Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
1.61Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.4 – 1.6 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✓
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.07
–
Form
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6
LWDLDD
30 Sep
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
1–2
L
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3–3
D
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
LWWDDL
30 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tamra
2–3
L
24 Sep
@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hapoel Acre
2–2
D
19 May
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–2 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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