Value bet: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Azor to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda travel to face Hapoel Azor in the Liga Alef on Wednesday 23 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Hapoel Azor's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Hapoel Sderot 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hapoel Azor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Hapoel Azor and 1.1 for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Hapoel Azor 1–1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Azor44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.40Expected goals
1.28Hapoel Azor xG
1.11Hapoel Mahane Yehuda xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Azor 1.3 – 1.1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Azor to win✓
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Azor / FT Hapoel Azor✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.55
–
Form
Hapoel Azor – last 4
LWLW
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tira
2–0
W
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Yavne
0–3
L
26 Feb
vs Nordia Jerusalem
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda – last 3
LDD
17 Sep
vs Hapoel Sderot
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Azor and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
On our numbers Hapoel Azor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Azor 1–1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ironi Beit Shemesh1
Tira1
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1
Ironi Baka El Garbiya3
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel1