Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 23 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultIroni Baka El Garbiya to win ✓45% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 28.34

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel preview and prediction

The match

Ironi Baka El Garbiya host Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in the Liga Alef on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT). Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Ironi Baka El Garbiya's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Tzeirey Tamra 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya and 1.3 for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 45%, draw 20%, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 35%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ironi Baka El Garbiya45%fair 2.22 · @2.05

Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel35%fair 2.89 · @2.90

2.82Expected goals

1.53Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG

1.29Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel xG

50%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.5 – 1.3 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win ✓	45%	2.22	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya ✗	25%	3.95	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0 ✗	4%	28.34	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win ✓

45%

2.22

2.05

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

80%

1.25

1.22

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score ✗

50%

2.00

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

77%

1.30

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

54%

1.86

1.75

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

69%

1.45

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

41%

2.43

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya ✗

25%

3.95

–

Correct score

Correct score 3–0 ✗

28.34

–

Form

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.

Liga Alef table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 35%.

How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

19 Sep	@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3–3	D
9 Sep	vs Ironi Nesher	0–2	L
5 Sep	@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	0–0	D
27 Feb	@ Ironi Nesher	0–0	D
20 Feb	vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0–3	L
13 Feb	@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	0–1	L

18 Sep	@ Tzeirey Tamra	4–1	W
9 Sep	@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit	0–1	L
19 Feb	vs Hapoel Beit Shean	0–1	L
13 Feb	@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1–1	D

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes