Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Hapoel Hadera or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 56% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.30
Double chanceHapoel Hadera or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60% · fair 1.66
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.43
Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv preview and prediction
The match
Shimshon Tel Aviv travel to Netanya Stadium in the Liga Alef on Wednesday 9 September (17:00 WAT) to face Hapoel Hadera.
Form guide
Hapoel Hadera's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Hapoel Marmorek 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Shimshon Tel Aviv's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Ironi Beit Shemesh 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shimshon Tel Aviv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Hapoel Hadera and 0.9 for Shimshon Tel Aviv. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 56% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hapoel Hadera or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Shimshon Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Hadera25%fair 3.93 · @2.15
Draw56%fair 1.77 · @3.30
Shimshon Tel Aviv18%fair 5.49 · @2.90
2.03Expected goals
1.09Hapoel Hadera xG
0.95Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Hadera 1.1 – 0.9 Shimshon Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.77
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Hadera or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
LLDDDW
4 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
0–1
L
25 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–6
L
19 May
@ Hapoel Acre
0–0
D
14 May
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
3–3
D
8 May
vs Hapoel Afula
1–1
D
5 May
vs Ironi Modi'in
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 3
WWD
3 Sep
vs Ironi Beit Shemesh
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
4–2
W
19 Feb
vs Kfar Saba 1928
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Hadera and Shimshon Tel Aviv.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Hapoel Hadera or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Hapoel Hadera have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Shimshon Tel Aviv 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Shimshon Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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