Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher preview and prediction
The match
Ironi Baka El Garbiya host Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT). Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Ironi Nesher sit 11th on 29 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ironi Baka El Garbiya's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ironi Nesher's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Tzeirey Tamra 6–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ironi Nesher arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Ironi Nesher 0–0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya and 1.5 for Ironi Nesher. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Ironi Nesher. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Baka El Garbiya44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Ironi Nesher35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
3.14Expected goals
1.67Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
1.47Ironi Nesher xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.7 – 1.5 Ironi Nesher expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya✗
What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ironi Nesher 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Ironi Nesher, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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