Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21 preview and prediction
The match
Leeds United U21 host Newcastle United U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at LNER Community Stadium. Leeds United U21 are 10th with 10 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Newcastle United U21 sit 28th on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Leeds United U21's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Middlesbrough U21 4–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Newcastle United U21's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat York 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Leeds United U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.2 goals: 2.7 for Leeds United U21 and 2.5 for Newcastle United U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leeds United U21 45%, draw 19%, Newcastle United U21 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Leeds United U21 2–2 Newcastle United U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leeds United U2145%fair 2.23 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.50
Newcastle United U2136%fair 2.81 · @2.40
5.20Expected goals
2.74Leeds United U21 xG
2.46Newcastle United U21 xG
72%Both score
89%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–26%
3–26%
2–35%
2–15%
3–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Leeds United U21 2.7 – 2.5 Newcastle United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leeds United U21 to win✓
45%
2.23
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Leeds United U21 ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leeds United U21 / FT Leeds United U21✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
17.49
–
Form
Leeds United U21 – last 6
DWLLWL
13 Sep
@ Middlesbrough U21
4–4
D
8 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ Charlton Athletic U21
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Liverpool U21
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–3
W
18 Aug
@ Boreham Wood
2–5
L
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newcastle United U21 – last 6
WLLLLD
15 Sep
@ York
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Fulham U21
0–4
L
24 Aug
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
18 Aug
@ Tamworth
3–5
L
13 Apr
vs Wolves U21
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leeds United U21 and Newcastle United U21.
What is the prediction for Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
On our numbers Leeds United U21 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Newcastle United U21 36%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
We expect about 5.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Our predicted score is Leeds United U21 2–2 Newcastle United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.2 goals in total.
When is Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21?
Leeds United U21 vs Newcastle United U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at LNER Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
