Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 preview and prediction
The match
Derby County U21 host Tottenham Hotspur U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Grange Park. Derby County U21 are 18th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Tottenham Hotspur U21 sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Derby County U21's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Gateshead 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Tottenham Hotspur U21's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Exeter City 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 2.6 for Derby County U21 and 2.9 for Tottenham Hotspur U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 91% and both teams to score at 74%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derby County U21 36%, draw 19%, Tottenham Hotspur U21 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (74%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Derby County U21 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derby County U2136%fair 2.76 · @2.50
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.60
Tottenham Hotspur U2145%fair 2.24 · @2.15
5.50Expected goals
2.62Derby County U21 xG
2.88Tottenham Hotspur U21 xG
74%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–26%
2–36%
3–25%
3–35%
1–24%
1–34%
From our goals model: Derby County U21 2.6 – 2.9 Tottenham Hotspur U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tottenham Hotspur U21 to win✓
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Tottenham Hotspur U21 ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tottenham Hotspur U21 / FT Tottenham Hotspur U21✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
17.93
–
Form
Derby County U21 – last 6
WDWLLL
8 Sep
@ Gateshead
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–4
D
24 Aug
@ Reading U21
3–1
W
18 Aug
@ FC Halifax Town
2–6
L
14 Aug
vs Hull City U21
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs Carlisle
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tottenham Hotspur U21 – last 6
LDWDLL
8 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Birmingham City U21
3–3
D
24 Aug
@ Newcastle United U21
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Algeciras
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ AFC Hornchurch
1–3
L
21 Jul
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derby County U21 and Tottenham Hotspur U21.
What is the prediction for Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
On our numbers Derby County U21 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tottenham Hotspur U21 45%.
How many goals will there be in Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
Our predicted score is Derby County U21 2–2 Tottenham Hotspur U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
Derby County U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Grange Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
