Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League 2 Division One sees Liverpool U21 take on Leeds United U21 on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Liverpool Academy. Liverpool U21 are 7th with 11 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Leeds United U21 sit 10th on 10 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liverpool U21's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Everton U21 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Leeds United U21's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat West Bromwich Albion U21 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.7 for Liverpool U21 and 1.4 for Leeds United U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool U21 63%, draw 18%, Leeds United U21 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Liverpool U21 2–1 Leeds United U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool U2163%fair 1.58 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @5.75
Leeds United U2118%fair 5.50 · @5.40
4.14Expected goals
2.69Liverpool U21 xG
1.44Leeds United U21 xG
66%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Liverpool U21 2.7 – 1.4 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool U21 to win✓
63%
1.58
1.35
Double chance
Liverpool U21 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.77
Half-time result
Liverpool U21 ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool U21 / FT Liverpool U21✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.95
–
Form
Liverpool U21 – last 6
DLDLLW
21 Aug
@ Everton U21
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Cardiff City U21
3–4
L
26 Apr
vs Crystal Palace U21
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–5
L
16 Mar
@ Manchester City U21
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Wolves U21
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leeds United U21 – last 6
WLDLLL
23 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–3
W
18 Aug
@ Boreham Wood
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Stoke City U21
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Leicester City U21
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Manchester United U21
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Southampton U21
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool U21 and Leeds United U21.
What is the prediction for Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Liverpool U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leeds United U21 18%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?
Our predicted score is Liverpool U21 2–1 Leeds United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?
Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Liverpool Academy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
