Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Bắc Ninh or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 58% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.10
Double chanceBắc Ninh or draw ✗80% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh preview and prediction
The match
Song Lam Nghe An host Bắc Ninh in the V.League 1 on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Vinh Stadium.
Form guide
Song Lam Nghe An's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Pho Hien 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bắc Ninh's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Hung Yen 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Bắc Ninh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Song Lam Nghe An and 1.3 for Bắc Ninh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Song Lam Nghe An 20%, draw 58%, Bắc Ninh 22%.
Safer route: Bắc Ninh or draw (80%) at 1.36.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Draw at 3.10 – 58% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bắc Ninh or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Bắc Ninh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Song Lam Nghe An20%fair 5.04 · @2.70
Draw58%fair 1.73 · @3.10
Bắc Ninh22%fair 4.47 · @2.45
2.52Expected goals
1.23Song Lam Nghe An xG
1.29Bắc Ninh xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Song Lam Nghe An 1.2 – 1.3 Bắc Ninh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.73
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Bắc Ninh or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bắc Ninh / FT Bắc Ninh✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Song Lam Nghe An – last 6
LLWLLL
7 Jun
vs Pho Hien
1–3
L
31 May
@ Nam Dinh
0–3
L
24 May
@ Binh Duong
1–0
W
10 May
@ Ho Chi Minh
1–3
L
3 May
vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Công An Nhân Dân
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bắc Ninh – last 6
WDLWWW
26 Aug
vs Hung Yen
2–1
W
12 Jun
@ Pho Hien
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs PVF-CAND
1–3
L
30 May
@ Binh Dinh
4–2
W
24 May
vs Hồ Chí Minh II
8–0
W
8 May
vs Bình Phước
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Song Lam Nghe An and Bắc Ninh.
What is the prediction for Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
Our pick is Bắc Ninh or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
On our numbers Song Lam Nghe An have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Bắc Ninh 22%.
How many goals will there be in Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
Our predicted score is Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Bắc Ninh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh?
Song Lam Nghe An vs Bắc Ninh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vinh Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
