Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✓72% · @1.21
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.03
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.88
Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh preview and prediction
The match
Công An Nhân Dân host Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh in the V.League 1 on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at Hang Day Stadium. Công An Nhân Dân are 1st with 64 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Công An Nhân Dân's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Ho Chi Minh 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Phu Dong 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Công An Nhân Dân arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–1 Công An Nhân Dân.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Công An Nhân Dân and 0.7 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Công An Nhân Dân 72%, draw 17%, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.03.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.03 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Công An Nhân Dân to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Công An Nhân Dân72%fair 1.38 · @1.21
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @5.40
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh10%fair 9.74 · @9.90
3.03Expected goals
2.29Công An Nhân Dân xG
0.74Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Công An Nhân Dân 2.3 – 0.7 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our pick is Công An Nhân Dân to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
On our numbers Công An Nhân Dân have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 10%.
How many goals will there be in Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our predicted score is Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Công An Nhân Dân vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
