Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓57% · @3.20
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã preview and prediction
The match
Vila Meã travel to face Maia Lidador in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 30 August (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Vila Meã's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Os Limianos 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Maia Lidador and 1.2 for Vila Meã. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maia Lidador 21%, draw 57%, Vila Meã 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maia Lidador 1–1 Vila Meã. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maia Lidador21%fair 4.69 · @2.50
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Vila Meã22%fair 4.55 · @2.50
2.39Expected goals
1.19Maia Lidador xG
1.20Vila Meã xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Maia Lidador 1.2 – 1.2 Vila Meã expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Vila Meã or draw✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.65
–
Form
Maia Lidador – last 2
LL
23 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ SC Braga B
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vila Meã – last 6
DWWLDL
23 Aug
vs Os Limianos
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Ponte da Barca
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Rebordosa
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ União Lamas
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Aparecida
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Alpendorada
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maia Lidador and Vila Meã.
What is the prediction for Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
On our numbers Maia Lidador have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Vila Meã 22%.
How many goals will there be in Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
Our predicted score is Maia Lidador 1–1 Vila Meã, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã?
Maia Lidador vs Vila Meã (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Machico2
Camacha2
Caldas1
Sintrense3
Cinfães1
Espinho0
SC Covilha0
Mortágua0
Fazendense1
Mocarriense0
Florgrade0
São João Ver0
Lusitano Évora 19111
CF Os Belenenses2
Nazarenos0
Vitória de Sernache3