Value bet: Florgrade to win @ 3.00 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlorgrade to win ✗42% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Florgrade vs São João Ver preview and prediction
The match
São João Ver travel to face Florgrade in the Taça De Portugal on Sunday 30 August (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Florgrade's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Guarda 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
São João Ver's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Trofense 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Florgrade arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Betting angles
Win chances: Florgrade 42%, draw 24%, São João Ver 34%.
Value angle: Florgrade to win at 3.00 – 42% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Florgrade42%fair 2.39 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
São João Ver34%fair 2.92 · @2.10
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Florgrade to win✗
42%
2.39
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Form
Florgrade – last 6
WDLWDW
23 Aug
vs Guarda
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ União Lamas
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Salgueiros
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Beira-Mar
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Anadia
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Gouveia
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
São João Ver – last 6
LLDDLW
22 Aug
@ Trofense
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Fafe
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Leça
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Tondela
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Fafe
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and São João Ver.
What is the prediction for Florgrade vs São João Ver?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Florgrade vs São João Ver?
On our numbers Florgrade have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São João Ver 34%.
When is Florgrade vs São João Ver?
Florgrade vs São João Ver (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Machico2
Camacha2
Caldas1
Sintrense3
Cinfães1
Espinho0
SC Covilha0
Mortágua0
Fazendense1
Mocarriense0
Lusitano Évora 19111
CF Os Belenenses2
Maia Lidador0
Vila Meã0
Nazarenos0
Vitória de Sernache3