Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertas to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceLibertas or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Libertas vs Faetano preview and prediction
The match
Libertas host Faetano in the Campionato on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT). Libertas are 9th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Faetano sit 16th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Libertas's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Virtus 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Faetano's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with San Marino Academy 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Libertas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Libertas 2–1 Faetano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Libertas and 0.8 for Faetano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertas 60%, draw 23%, Faetano 16%.
Safer route: Libertas or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertas to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Libertas 1–0 Faetano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertas60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Faetano16%fair 6.12 · @4.10
2.59Expected goals
1.78Libertas xG
0.81Faetano xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Libertas 1.8 – 0.8 Faetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Libertas to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Libertas vs Faetano?
On our numbers Libertas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Faetano 16%.
How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Faetano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Faetano?
Our predicted score is Libertas 1–0 Faetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Libertas vs Faetano?
Libertas vs Faetano (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
