Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.55
Pennarossa vs Murata preview and prediction
The match
Pennarossa host Murata in the Campionato on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Pennarossa are 13th with 5 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Murata sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pennarossa's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Tre Fiori 2–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Murata's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Folgore 0–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Pennarossa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 3.1 for Pennarossa and 1.5 for Murata. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pennarossa 3–1 Murata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pennarossa65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
Murata12%fair 8.12 · @7.00
4.66Expected goals
3.12Pennarossa xG
1.54Murata xG
61%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
3–05%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 3.1 – 1.5 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pennarossa to win✗
65%
1.53
1.30
Double chance
Pennarossa or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Pennarossa ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pennarossa / FT Pennarossa✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.55
–
Form
Pennarossa – last 6
LLDWDL
30 Aug
@ Tre Fiori
2–5
L
29 Apr
@ Cosmos
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tre Fiori
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ San Marino Academy
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Folgore
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Murata – last 6
LLLLLL
28 Aug
@ Folgore
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
8 Apr
vs Tre Fiori
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Tre Penne
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Cosmos
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Domagnano
0–5
L
0.3Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and Murata.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Murata?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Murata 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Murata?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Murata?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 3–1 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs Murata?
Pennarossa vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
