Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.86
La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy preview and prediction
The match
La Fiorita host San Marino Academy in the Campionato on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). La Fiorita are 6th with 16 points from 8 games (in the top half), while San Marino Academy sit 15th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
La Fiorita's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Virtus 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
San Marino Academy's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Fiorentino 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
La Fiorita arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for La Fiorita and 0.4 for San Marino Academy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 51% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Fiorita 70%, draw 20%, San Marino Academy 9%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.50, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: La Fiorita 1–0 San Marino Academy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Fiorita70%fair 1.42 · @1.11
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @7.50
San Marino Academy9%fair 10.54 · @17.00
2.11Expected goals
1.70La Fiorita xG
0.41San Marino Academy xG
36%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–017%
0–012%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: La Fiorita 1.7 – 0.4 San Marino Academy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Fiorita to win✗
70%
1.42
1.11
Double chance
La Fiorita or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
La Fiorita ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Fiorita / FT La Fiorita✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.86
–
Form
La Fiorita – last 6
DLLDWL
30 Aug
@ Virtus
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs UNA Strassen
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ UNA Strassen
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Vardar Skopje
1–1
D
12 May
@ Tre Penne
1–0
W
5 May
@ Fiorentino
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Marino Academy – last 6
LLLDLD
28 Aug
vs Fiorentino
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Folgore
0–3
L
7 Apr
vs Fiorentino
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Juvenes Dogana
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Domagnano
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Pennarossa
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Fiorita and San Marino Academy.
What is the prediction for La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.
Who will win La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
On our numbers La Fiorita have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Marino Academy 9%.
How many goals will there be in La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
Our predicted score is La Fiorita 1–0 San Marino Academy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy?
La Fiorita vs San Marino Academy (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
