Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 preview and prediction
The match
Derby County U21 travel to Attis Arena in the National League Cup on Tuesday 13 October (19:00 WAT) to face Scunthorpe.
Form guide
Scunthorpe's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to AFC Fylde 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Derby County U21's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Brentford U21 2–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 3.2 for Scunthorpe and 1.6 for Derby County U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Scunthorpe 67%, draw 18%, Derby County U21 15%.
Safer route: Scunthorpe or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Scunthorpe 3–1 Derby County U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Scunthorpe67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.00
Derby County U2115%fair 6.73 · @5.00
4.75Expected goals
3.16Scunthorpe xG
1.59Derby County U21 xG
70%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
4–16%
2–25%
3–05%
From our goals model: Scunthorpe 3.2 – 1.6 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scunthorpe to win✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Scunthorpe or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Scunthorpe ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scunthorpe / FT Scunthorpe✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.80
–
Form
Scunthorpe – last 6
LLWLLW
10 Oct
@ AFC Fylde
0–2
L
29 Sep
@ Barrow
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hartlepool
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Hornchurch
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
LLLWDW
10 Oct
@ Brentford U21
2–4
L
18 Sep
@ Burnley U21
1–4
L
11 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Gateshead
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–4
D
24 Aug
@ Reading U21
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scunthorpe and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Scunthorpe have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Derby County U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Scunthorpe 3–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?
Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Attis Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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