Double chanceNewcastle United U21 or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.93
Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 preview and prediction
The match
The National League Cup sees Hartlepool take on Newcastle United U21 on Tuesday 13 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Victoria Park.
Form guide
Hartlepool's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Forest Green 4–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Newcastle United U21's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Luton Town U21 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Newcastle United U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.5 for Hartlepool and 3.5 for Newcastle United U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hartlepool 10%, draw 20%, Newcastle United U21 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hartlepool 1–3 Newcastle United U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartlepool10%fair 10.47 · @5.80
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @5.50
Newcastle United U2171%fair 1.42 · @1.30
5.00Expected goals
1.53Hartlepool xG
3.47Newcastle United U21 xG
69%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–46%
1–26%
2–35%
2–45%
2–25%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.5 – 3.5 Newcastle United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle United U21 to win✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Double chance
Newcastle United U21 or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Newcastle United U21 ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle United U21 / FT Newcastle United U21✓
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
13.93
–
Form
Hartlepool – last 6
WLLLLL
10 Oct
@ Forest Green
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Tamworth
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Scunthorpe
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Worthing
1–3
L
16 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newcastle United U21 – last 6
WLLLWL
9 Oct
vs Luton Town U21
4–1
W
6 Oct
@ Solihull Moors
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Bradford
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Leeds United U21
0–2
L
15 Sep
@ York
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Newcastle United U21.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle United U21 71%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–3 Newcastle United U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21?
Hartlepool vs Newcastle United U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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