Value bet: Oriente Petrolero to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuabirá to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Guabirá take on Oriente Petrolero on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera. Guabirá are 8th with 33 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Oriente Petrolero sit 4th on 41 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Guabirá's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Oriente Petrolero's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat ABB 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 October 2026, finished Guabirá 2–1 Oriente Petrolero. Across their last 3 meetings Guabirá have won 1, Oriente Petrolero 1, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Guabirá and 1.7 for Oriente Petrolero. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guabirá 40%, draw 21%, Oriente Petrolero 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Oriente Petrolero to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Guabirá 1–1 Oriente Petrolero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guabirá40%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.75
Oriente Petrolero39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
3.33Expected goals
1.67Guabirá xG
1.66Oriente Petrolero xG
69%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Guabirá 1.7 – 1.7 Oriente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero?
On our numbers Guabirá have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Oriente Petrolero 39%.
How many goals will there be in Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is Guabirá 1–1 Oriente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero?
Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
