Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBolívar to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
Nacional Potosí host Bolívar in the Primera División on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Nacional Potosí are 7th with 33 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Bolívar sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nacional Potosí's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Aurora 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Bolívar's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Blooming 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bolívar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Bolívar 1–1 Nacional Potosí.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Nacional Potosí and 2.2 for Bolívar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Potosí 21%, draw 17%, Bolívar 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bolívar to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nacional Potosí 1–2 Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Potosí21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.60
Bolívar63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
3.31Expected goals
1.13Nacional Potosí xG
2.18Bolívar xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nacional Potosí 1.1 – 2.2 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
Our pick is Bolívar to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Nacional Potosí have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bolívar 63%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Nacional Potosí 1–2 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
