Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAurora to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí preview and prediction
The match
Aurora host Nacional Potosí in the Primera División on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 22:15 (WAT). Aurora are 6th with 36 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Nacional Potosí sit 7th on 33 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aurora's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat ABB 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nacional Potosí's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Always Ready 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 July 2026, finished Nacional Potosí 2–0 Aurora.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Aurora and 0.9 for Nacional Potosí. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aurora 62%, draw 21%, Nacional Potosí 18%.
Safer route: Aurora or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aurora to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Aurora 1–0 Nacional Potosí. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aurora62%fair 1.63 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
Nacional Potosí18%fair 5.70 · @4.50
2.90Expected goals
1.96Aurora xG
0.94Nacional Potosí xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Aurora 2.0 – 0.9 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Our pick is Aurora to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
On our numbers Aurora have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nacional Potosí 18%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–0 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Nacional Potosí?
Aurora vs Nacional Potosí (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
