Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Oriente Petrolero to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOriente Petrolero to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero preview and prediction
The match
Real Tomayapo host Oriente Petrolero in the Primera División on Thursday 17 September, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio IV Centenario. Real Tomayapo are 13th with 23 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Oriente Petrolero sit 4th on 41 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Tomayapo's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Bolívar 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oriente Petrolero's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Real Potosí 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Oriente Petrolero 3–1 Real Tomayapo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Real Tomayapo and 1.5 for Oriente Petrolero. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Tomayapo 36%, draw 23%, Oriente Petrolero 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Oriente Petrolero to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Real Tomayapo 1–1 Oriente Petrolero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Tomayapo36%fair 2.76 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Oriente Petrolero41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.97Expected goals
1.43Real Tomayapo xG
1.54Oriente Petrolero xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Real Tomayapo 1.4 – 1.5 Oriente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero?
On our numbers Real Tomayapo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oriente Petrolero 41%.
How many goals will there be in Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is Real Tomayapo 1–1 Oriente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero?
Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio IV Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
