Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Universitario de Vinto to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversitario de Vinto to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceUniversitario de Vinto or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero preview and prediction
The match
Independiente Petrolero travel to face Universitario de Vinto in the Primera División on Sunday 13 September (22:15 WAT). Universitario de Vinto are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Independiente Petrolero sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Universitario de Vinto's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to The Strongest 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Independiente Petrolero's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Bolívar 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Independiente Petrolero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Independiente Petrolero 2–1 Universitario de Vinto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Universitario de Vinto and 1.0 for Independiente Petrolero. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universitario de Vinto 61%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 15%.
Safer route: Universitario de Vinto or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universitario de Vinto to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Universitario de Vinto 2–1 Independiente Petrolero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universitario de Vinto61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Independiente Petrolero15%fair 6.82 · @4.00
3.14Expected goals
2.13Universitario de Vinto xG
1.01Independiente Petrolero xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Universitario de Vinto 2.1 – 1.0 Independiente Petrolero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universitario de Vinto to win✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
Universitario de Vinto or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Universitario de Vinto ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universitario de Vinto / FT Universitario de Vinto✗
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our pick is Universitario de Vinto to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
On our numbers Universitario de Vinto have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente Petrolero 15%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
Our predicted score is Universitario de Vinto 2–1 Independiente Petrolero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?
Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
